UCL Qualifying 3rd Round Final
Global 3-4
FC Aktobe vs FCSB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Aktobe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
FCI
1 - 1
FCA
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
FCA
3 - 0
DTB
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
DTB
0 - 1
FCA
64%
20%
17%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2014 |
FCA
3 - 1
TOB
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
KAI
7 - 1
FCA
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
RAP
1 - 3
STB
47%
26%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
STB
2 - 0
STR
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
STR
0 - 1
STB
64%
21%
16%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2014 |
STB
1 - 1
AST
44%
23%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2014 |
STB
1 - 1
AEL
50%
24%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |