FC Aktobe vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Aktobe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 1
SPA
41%
25%
35%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
FCA
3 - 4
TOB
48%
26%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 0
SHA
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
FKY
2 - 1
FCA
30%
24%
47%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
FKY
2 - 2
FCA
30%
28%
43%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 0
SAR
43%
25%
33%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
SHA
4 - 1
SAR
65%
20%
16%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
UTA
1 - 3
SAR
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SIR
2 - 2
SAR
29%
27%
44%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 1
POS
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |