Aktobe II vs Akademiya Ontustik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.8%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
82.1%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
6.4%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
17.9%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
4%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.6%
0-5
4.7%
1-6
2.1%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
7.3%
0-6
2.5%
1-7
1%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
3.6%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.6%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
14º
13º
21
11º
13º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aktobe II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
KYR
2 - 0
FKA
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 62 | 46 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
FKA
1 - 5
FKZ
12%
20%
68%
|
16 | 66 | 50 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
FKK
1 - 1
FKA
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
FKA
2 - 2
EKI
7%
14%
79%
|
15 | 57 | 42 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
FKY
3 - 1
FKA
84%
12%
5%
|
15 | 53 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Akademiya Ontustik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
FKA
0 - 0
FKY
40%
22%
38%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
FKT
3 - 2
FKA
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
FKA
4 - 0
TAR
18%
22%
60%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | +3 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
FJQ
5 - 1
FKA
10%
14%
77%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | -3 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
FKA
2 - 4
FKA
71%
16%
13%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |