Akron Tolyatti vs Krylia Sovetov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
2º
11º
10º
4
4º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
4 | 61 |
1º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 58 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 57 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 57 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 55 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 54 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 43 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 41 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 38 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
4 | 37 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
4 | 35 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 30 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 25 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 25 |
15º
|
19% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 21 |
16º
|
48.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
83.5% | 78% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12.5% | 17.5% |
|
Relegation
|
4% | 4.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Akron Tolyatti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2025 |
AKT
0 - 2
ARS
71%
17%
12%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2025 |
AKT
0 - 0
SPA
85%
11%
5%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
AKT
1 - 4
LOK
23%
24%
53%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
DIN
2 - 1
AKT
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
AKT
3 - 2
TER
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Krylia Sovetov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
TER
1 - 0
KRS
45%
23%
32%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
SPA
2 - 2
KRS
75%
15%
10%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
FAK
1 - 1
KRS
22%
26%
53%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
KRS
0 - 2
SPA
22%
26%
52%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2025 |
OLY
5 - 2
KRS
26%
25%
49%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |