Akragas vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
56%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Akragas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
USV
0 - 1
AKR
25%
27%
49%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
AKR
1 - 2
MON
50%
24%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
JUS
1 - 0
AKR
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
AKR
1 - 3
NUO
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 1
AKR
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 3
MON
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
FIA
0 - 0
LEC
26%
27%
46%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 1
PAG
72%
19%
10%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
MES
0 - 3
LEC
18%
23%
59%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
LEC
0 - 3
MAT
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |