AP Brera vs FK Vardar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
45.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+95%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
TIK
2 - 1
AKP
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
PEL
1 - 2
AKP
45%
27%
29%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
VAR
3 - 0
AKP
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
AKP
0 - 2
VAR
36%
28%
36%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
SHK
2 - 1
AKP
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
VOK
0 - 3
VAR
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
VAR
1 - 3
CRV
9%
15%
77%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
VAR
2 - 2
TIK
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
VAR
3 - 0
AKP
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
AKP
0 - 2
VAR
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |