AP Brera vs Tikvesh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
12º
10º
34
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
RAB
1 - 1
AKP
52%
25%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 4
AKP
13%
20%
67%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AKP
3 - 2
BES
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 0
AKP
62%
23%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
AKP
0 - 2
SHK
29%
26%
44%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Tikvesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TIK
0 - 3
VAR
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
RAB
3 - 1
TIK
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TIK
0 - 0
GOS
47%
26%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BES
1 - 0
TIK
29%
26%
44%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
TIK
2 - 1
VOK
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |