AP Brera vs Tikvesh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
11º
10º
37
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 36.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
48.5% | 63.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
51.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 0
AKP
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
FKS
2 - 1
AKP
17%
26%
57%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
AKP
3 - 0
SIL
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
MAK
1 - 0
AKP
48%
24%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SHK
1 - 1
AKP
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Tikvesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
TIK
0 - 2
SIL
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SHK
0 - 0
TIK
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
TIK
3 - 0
RAB
47%
27%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BRE
2 - 1
TIK
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
TIK
1 - 0
POB
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |