AP Brera vs KF Shkëndija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
58.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
ALT
0 - 0
AKP
54%
21%
25%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
ROT
5 - 1
AKP
46%
24%
31%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
FKS
1 - 2
AKP
56%
22%
21%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
BAL
0 - 0
AKP
29%
25%
46%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
BEL
2 - 0
AKP
24%
23%
54%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
KF Shkëndija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
SLI
0 - 1
SHK
42%
24%
34%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
RAN
3 - 3
SHK
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
KAR
0 - 0
SHK
20%
22%
58%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
SER
2 - 3
SHK
26%
23%
51%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
VAR
2 - 2
SHK
30%
26%
45%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |