AP Brera vs Sileks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
32.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
11º
10º
47
2º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
48.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
51.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2023 |
BRE
1 - 1
AKP
46%
27%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
AKP
1 - 4
TIK
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
AKP
2 - 0
POB
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
FKS
1 - 1
AKP
22%
28%
50%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MAK
0 - 0
AKP
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sileks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2023 |
SIL
2 - 0
RAB
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
FCS
3 - 0
SIL
48%
28%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SIL
0 - 2
SHK
42%
28%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
SHK
0 - 0
SIL
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SIL
1 - 0
MAK
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |