AP Brera vs Renova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
32.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
11º
10º
0
5º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
48.5% | 49% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
51.5% | 32% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 16.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MAK
0 - 1
AKP
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
AKP
1 - 1
FKD
84%
11%
5%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
AKP
7 - 0
KGE
82%
13%
5%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
KYZ
2 - 0
AKP
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ZOR
2 - 0
AKP
79%
14%
7%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Renova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
LJU
3 - 0
REN
4%
10%
86%
|
64 | 7 | 57 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
FKB
1 - 5
REN
18%
25%
57%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
REN
2 - 0
FKS
58%
25%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
TIK
0 - 1
REN
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
REN
1 - 1
FCS
33%
29%
38%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |