AP Brera vs Renova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
15.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
POB
2 - 4
AKP
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
BRE
2 - 6
AKP
10%
13%
77%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
AKP
3 - 0
SIL
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
RAB
1 - 0
AKP
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -3 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
AKP
1 - 0
SHK
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Renova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
REN
0 - 2
BEL
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
POB
1 - 0
REN
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
REN
1 - 1
MAK
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -7 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SIL
1 - 0
REN
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
TIK
2 - 1
REN
9%
16%
75%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |