AP Brera vs Pelister analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
12º
10º
39
6º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
AKP
0 - 0
TIK
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
RAB
1 - 1
AKP
52%
25%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 4
AKP
13%
20%
67%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AKP
3 - 2
BES
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 0
AKP
62%
23%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Pelister
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
PEL
0 - 0
RAB
36%
29%
35%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
BES
2 - 3
PEL
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
FKS
0 - 1
PEL
17%
22%
61%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
PEL
1 - 1
FCS
24%
27%
48%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SHK
2 - 0
PEL
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |