AP Brera vs Aresimi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
23.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
AKP
1 - 2
SHK
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
PEL
0 - 0
AKP
35%
27%
37%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
TIK
2 - 1
AKP
38%
25%
38%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
BEL
1 - 2
AKP
39%
24%
37%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
BRE
0 - 2
AKP
31%
24%
45%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aresimi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
ARE
1 - 1
OHR
65%
21%
15%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
BEL
0 - 1
ARE
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
ARE
2 - 3
SHH
80%
14%
6%
|
51 | 15 | 36 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
VOK
0 - 0
ARE
46%
23%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
ARE
3 - 3
FKB
73%
17%
11%
|
51 | 22 | 29 | 0 |