AP Brera vs KF Besa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
12º
10º
33
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 0
AKP
62%
23%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
AKP
0 - 2
SHK
29%
26%
44%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SIL
4 - 0
AKP
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
AKP
3 - 1
VAR
54%
24%
21%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
KGE
1 - 1
AKP
12%
19%
69%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
KF Besa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BES
1 - 3
SHK
17%
22%
61%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BES
0 - 0
RAB
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BES
1 - 0
TIK
29%
26%
44%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 0
BES
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
BES
1 - 3
SHK
22%
26%
51%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |