Ajax vs Xerxes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.6%
Win probability
3.95
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.8%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.8%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.1%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.5%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.5%
6.7%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.7%
3.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1967 |
DWS
1 - 4
AJA
26%
25%
50%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1967 |
PSV
1 - 2
AJA
28%
24%
47%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1967 |
RMA
2 - 1
AJA
65%
18%
17%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1967 |
MVV
0 - 4
AJA
18%
23%
58%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
AJA
4 - 0
SIT
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Xerxes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1967 |
XER
2 - 1
NEC
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
SPA
3 - 0
XER
71%
17%
13%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1967 |
GRO
1 - 1
XER
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
XER
1 - 2
PSV
39%
25%
36%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
TWE
2 - 0
XER
58%
22%
19%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |