Ajax vs Xerxes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.6%
Win probability
3.68
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.4%
4.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1966 |
LIV
2 - 2
AJA
55%
21%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1966 |
ADO
2 - 0
AJA
31%
24%
45%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1966 |
AJA
5 - 1
LIV
66%
18%
16%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1966 |
GRO
3 - 8
AJA
26%
24%
49%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
AJA
4 - 2
TEL
91%
6%
3%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Xerxes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1966 |
XER
1 - 1
FEY
25%
22%
54%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1966 |
XER
6 - 1
VVD
48%
23%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
WIL
1 - 1
XER
53%
22%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1966 |
XER
4 - 0
PSV
31%
22%
48%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1966 |
SIT
1 - 3
XER
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |