Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
9.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SPA
0 - 1
AJA
12%
18%
71%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
BJK
1 - 2
AJA
21%
22%
57%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
RKC
0 - 5
AJA
6%
15%
79%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
AJA
0 - 0
GAE
79%
14%
8%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
AJA
1 - 1
QUI
87%
10%
4%
|
89 | 39 | 50 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
WIL
0 - 1
GAE
37%
27%
37%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
SCH
2 - 1
WIL
42%
25%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
WIL
0 - 3
SPA
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
UTR
5 - 1
WIL
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
RKC
3 - 0
WIL
20%
20%
60%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -2 |