Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
6.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 2
AJA
9%
15%
77%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
AZA
0 - 1
AJA
20%
21%
60%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
AJA
1 - 0
FEY
64%
19%
17%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2021 |
TWE
1 - 3
AJA
9%
15%
76%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
AJA
2 - 2
PSV
51%
22%
27%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
WIL
1 - 3
ZWO
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
RKC
1 - 1
WIL
21%
23%
56%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2021 |
WIL
2 - 3
GRO
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
VVV
2 - 1
WIL
31%
24%
45%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
WIL
1 - 1
AJA
8%
14%
78%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |