Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.5%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
5.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
TWE
2 - 5
AJA
8%
15%
77%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
LIL
0 - 2
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
AJA
4 - 1
HER
83%
12%
6%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
AJA
4 - 0
UTR
75%
15%
10%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2019 |
CHL
4 - 4
AJA
40%
24%
36%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
WIL
4 - 0
SPA
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
ADO
3 - 3
WIL
35%
25%
41%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
WIL
2 - 1
PSV
12%
18%
71%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
GRO
2 - 0
WIL
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
QUI
0 - 4
WIL
4%
9%
87%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | +1 |