Ajax vs Willem II analysis

Ajax Willem II
87 ELO 70
6% Tilt 17.7%
103º General ELO ranking 396º
Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
77.6%
Ajax
14.7%
Draw
7.7%
Willem II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
Ajax
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
7.7%
Win probability
Willem II
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajax
+4%
-23%
Willem II

ELO progression

Ajax
Willem II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Oct. 2018
AJA
Ajax
3 - 0
Go Ahead Eagles
GAE
78%
15%
7%
87 62 25 0
28 Oct. 2018
AJA
Ajax
3 - 0
Feyenoord
FEY
55%
22%
23%
86 83 3 +1
23 Oct. 2018
AJA
Ajax
1 - 0
Benfica
SLB
49%
24%
28%
87 87 0 -1
20 Oct. 2018
SCH
Heerenveen
0 - 4
Ajax
AJA
20%
22%
59%
87 76 11 0
07 Oct. 2018
AJA
Ajax
5 - 0
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
56%
21%
22%
87 83 4 0

Matches

Willem II
Willem II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Oct. 2018
WIL
Willem II
5 - 0
Spakenburg
SPA
79%
14%
6%
70 48 22 0
28 Oct. 2018
WIL
Willem II
0 - 1
Utrecht
UTR
27%
25%
49%
70 77 7 0
21 Oct. 2018
NAC
NAC Breda
2 - 2
Willem II
WIL
33%
25%
42%
71 66 5 -1
07 Oct. 2018
WIL
Willem II
1 - 1
Feyenoord
FEY
16%
20%
63%
71 84 13 0
30 Sep. 2018
GRA
De Graafschap
2 - 1
Willem II
WIL
30%
25%
46%
72 65 7 -1