Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
7.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
AJA
3 - 0
GAE
78%
15%
7%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
AJA
3 - 0
FEY
55%
22%
23%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
AJA
1 - 0
SLB
49%
24%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
SCH
0 - 4
AJA
20%
22%
59%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
AJA
5 - 0
AZA
56%
21%
22%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
WIL
5 - 0
SPA
79%
14%
6%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
WIL
0 - 1
UTR
27%
25%
49%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 2
WIL
33%
25%
42%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
WIL
1 - 1
FEY
16%
20%
63%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
GRA
2 - 1
WIL
30%
25%
46%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |