Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
TWE
1 - 1
AJA
20%
22%
58%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
AZA
1 - 2
AJA
38%
24%
38%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2017 |
AJA
3 - 1
EXC
76%
15%
8%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
AJA
3 - 0
PSV
30%
23%
46%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
TWE
3 - 3
AJA
16%
22%
62%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2017 |
WIL
3 - 0
RKC
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
WIL
2 - 3
ZWO
39%
26%
34%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2017 |
VIT
2 - 2
WIL
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
WIL
1 - 1
NAC
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
WIL
3 - 1
HER
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |