Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.5%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
5.7%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 2
AJA
11%
18%
70%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 1
SCH
69%
18%
13%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
PSV
2 - 3
AJA
48%
22%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
AJA
4 - 0
HER
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
AJA
4 - 1
NEC
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
VIT
3 - 1
WIL
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
WIL
2 - 1
RJC
28%
23%
49%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SCH
3 - 2
WIL
84%
11%
5%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 3
PSV
13%
18%
69%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 2
GRO
34%
24%
42%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |