Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
3.6%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
GRA
0 - 5
AJA
14%
19%
67%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
AJA
2 - 1
DYN
65%
20%
15%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
AJA
3 - 0
RJC
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
DYN
1 - 1
AJA
34%
23%
43%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
AJA
4 - 2
VIT
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
WIL
0 - 3
GRO
20%
22%
58%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
UTR
3 - 0
WIL
76%
17%
7%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
WIL
3 - 5
NEC
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
HER
3 - 0
WIL
71%
19%
11%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
RJC
3 - 2
WIL
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |