Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
RJC
1 - 2
AJA
16%
21%
64%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 3
AJA
19%
22%
60%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
AJA
2 - 2
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
AJA
3 - 0
GRA
82%
13%
6%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 1
AJA
40%
25%
36%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
WIL
2 - 0
NAC
34%
26%
40%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
NEC
0 - 0
WIL
66%
22%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
WIL
0 - 2
TWE
23%
25%
52%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2009 |
SPA
0 - 1
WIL
62%
21%
16%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
WIL
0 - 3
HER
52%
23%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -2 |