Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
SCH
2 - 1
AJA
25%
24%
51%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
AJA
0 - 4
PSV
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
NEC
0 - 1
AJA
14%
21%
65%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2005 |
ADO
0 - 2
AJA
22%
24%
54%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
RJC
1 - 2
AJA
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
WIL
4 - 1
GRA
73%
17%
11%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
GRO
1 - 1
WIL
41%
27%
33%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
WIL
2 - 1
BOS
67%
19%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
VIT
2 - 0
WIL
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2005 |
WIL
3 - 0
BOS
64%
19%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |