Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
9.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2001 |
GRA
1 - 3
AJA
14%
19%
67%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2001 |
AJA
1 - 2
VIT
69%
18%
13%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
AJA
5 - 1
TWE
74%
15%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
FEY
3 - 1
AJA
44%
24%
31%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
AJA
6 - 2
SCH
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
TWE
3 - 1
WIL
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2001 |
WIL
4 - 1
SPA
79%
13%
7%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2000 |
WIL
2 - 0
NEC
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
WIL
3 - 1
FOR
71%
17%
12%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2000 |
SCH
0 - 1
WIL
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |