Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
9.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2000 |
PSV
4 - 0
AJA
51%
22%
27%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
AJA
3 - 1
BVO
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2000 |
SCH
1 - 1
AJA
25%
24%
51%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
GRA
1 - 1
AJA
18%
22%
60%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1999 |
AJA
1 - 3
PSV
49%
22%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2000 |
WIL
3 - 1
NEC
76%
15%
9%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
WIL
1 - 1
TWE
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2000 |
RKC
1 - 0
WIL
40%
24%
36%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2000 |
HEL
1 - 2
WIL
20%
23%
58%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1999 |
WIL
0 - 0
SPA
80%
13%
7%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |