Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
6.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1998 |
AJA
0 - 2
PSV
54%
21%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1998 |
AJA
1 - 2
UTR
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
GRA
1 - 8
AJA
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1998 |
VIT
2 - 0
AJA
34%
24%
42%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1998 |
AJA
6 - 1
WIL
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1998 |
WIL
3 - 0
SPA
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
WIL
2 - 4
RJC
46%
24%
31%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1998 |
RKC
1 - 4
WIL
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1998 |
AJA
6 - 1
WIL
81%
13%
6%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
WIL
5 - 2
SCH
42%
24%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |