Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
6.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1995 |
BYM
0 - 0
AJA
47%
25%
28%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
SCH
3 - 3
AJA
21%
22%
58%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1995 |
TWE
0 - 1
AJA
31%
25%
44%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1995 |
AJA
8 - 0
SPA
79%
14%
8%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1995 |
AJA
5 - 1
NEC
87%
10%
3%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1995 |
WIL
1 - 1
VIT
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1995 |
FCD
3 - 0
WIL
29%
29%
41%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1995 |
PSV
3 - 2
WIL
80%
14%
7%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1995 |
WIL
1 - 0
RKC
71%
18%
12%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1995 |
WIL
3 - 1
SCH
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |