Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
6.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1993 |
SCH
1 - 4
AJA
17%
20%
63%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1993 |
AJA
4 - 0
GAE
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1993 |
GRO
0 - 4
AJA
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1993 |
AJA
3 - 1
VOL
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1993 |
BJK
0 - 4
AJA
40%
27%
34%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1993 |
WIL
4 - 1
RKC
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1993 |
WIL
1 - 1
SCH
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1993 |
GAE
3 - 0
WIL
53%
25%
21%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1993 |
VVV
0 - 0
WIL
43%
28%
29%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1993 |
WIL
4 - 1
GRO
67%
20%
14%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |