Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.3%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
5.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
UTR
2 - 1
AJA
22%
27%
52%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1991 |
ERF
1 - 2
AJA
16%
21%
63%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1991 |
PSV
3 - 2
AJA
57%
22%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1991 |
AJA
4 - 0
SPA
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1991 |
ORE
0 - 1
AJA
22%
25%
54%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
WIL
0 - 2
PSV
20%
23%
57%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1991 |
WIL
0 - 0
MVV
66%
19%
15%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1991 |
SPA
1 - 1
WIL
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1991 |
WIL
1 - 4
FEY
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1991 |
TWE
1 - 0
WIL
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |