Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.7%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
5.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1990 |
NEC
1 - 1
AJA
17%
24%
59%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
AJA
2 - 2
RJC
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1990 |
AJA
1 - 0
ADO
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
WIL
1 - 1
AJA
18%
25%
57%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1990 |
AJA
6 - 0
BOS
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1990 |
WIL
1 - 1
SPA
49%
24%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
ADO
0 - 3
WIL
65%
19%
16%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
WIL
1 - 1
AJA
18%
25%
57%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1990 |
NEC
2 - 2
WIL
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
WIL
2 - 2
RJC
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |