Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.9%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
5.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1989 |
BOS
0 - 1
AJA
13%
23%
65%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1989 |
AJA
3 - 2
GRO
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1989 |
HFC
0 - 4
AJA
13%
23%
64%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1989 |
AJA
1 - 1
FEY
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1989 |
FOR
0 - 0
AJA
14%
23%
63%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1989 |
WIL
0 - 1
NEC
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1989 |
RJC
4 - 1
WIL
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1989 |
VIT
2 - 0
WIL
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1989 |
WIL
1 - 0
BOS
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1989 |
GRO
1 - 1
WIL
63%
20%
17%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |