Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.1%
Win probability
3.66
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.1%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.1%
5-0
7%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.6%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.3%
3.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1983 |
AZA
2 - 3
AJA
41%
24%
35%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1983 |
AJA
3 - 1
RJC
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1983 |
ZWO
1 - 2
AJA
15%
21%
64%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1983 |
AJA
5 - 0
TWE
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
NEC
0 - 4
AJA
16%
21%
63%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1983 |
WIL
2 - 0
GAE
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1983 |
FOR
2 - 1
WIL
57%
23%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1983 |
WIL
4 - 0
HEL
63%
21%
17%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1983 |
FEY
3 - 2
WIL
82%
12%
6%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1983 |
WIL
1 - 2
UTR
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |