Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88%
Win probability
3.47
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.7%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.1%
3.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
AJA
6 - 0
EXC
88%
9%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
SPA
3 - 4
AJA
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
AJA
3 - 0
ADO
84%
11%
6%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1979 |
MVV
0 - 2
AJA
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1979 |
TWE
1 - 0
AJA
49%
24%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
RJC
1 - 2
WIL
72%
18%
11%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
WIL
3 - 1
EXC
48%
28%
24%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
FEY
5 - 1
WIL
82%
12%
6%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
WIL
1 - 1
SPA
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
UTR
2 - 2
WIL
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |