Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
10%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
FCB
2 - 2
AJA
28%
22%
50%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
VOL
4 - 0
AJA
20%
19%
62%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
AJA
0 - 2
MVV
83%
11%
6%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
AJA
3 - 0
SPA
76%
14%
10%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
GRO
1 - 0
AJA
23%
21%
56%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
WIL
3 - 1
VOL
56%
20%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
MVV
1 - 0
WIL
49%
22%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
WIL
1 - 1
GRO
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
WIL
0 - 0
RJC
63%
19%
18%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
DWS
0 - 2
WIL
47%
23%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |