Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
16.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
ELI
2 - 2
AJA
24%
23%
54%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
AJA
2 - 0
FOR
50%
22%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
SPA
4 - 2
AJA
42%
22%
36%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1958 |
AJA
0 - 1
DWS
68%
17%
14%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1958 |
AJA
1 - 1
ADO
66%
18%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
PSV
3 - 0
WIL
72%
15%
13%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
WIL
5 - 1
ELI
72%
16%
12%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
FOR
5 - 4
WIL
72%
15%
13%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1958 |
WIL
0 - 0
SPA
52%
21%
27%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
WIL
4 - 0
ELI
72%
16%
13%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |