Ajax vs VVV Venlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
AND
0 - 3
AJA
43%
24%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
RJC
2 - 2
AJA
16%
20%
64%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2011 |
AJA
2 - 0
GRA
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 3
AJA
17%
21%
63%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
AJA
4 - 1
NAC
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
VVV Venlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
ADO
3 - 0
VVV
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
VVV
3 - 0
NAC
25%
25%
51%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
AZA
6 - 1
VVV
72%
19%
10%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
VVV
0 - 3
PSV
20%
24%
56%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2011 |
BOS
1 - 2
VVV
51%
23%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |