Ajax vs VVV Venlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.5%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
11%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11%
5.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
MUD
2 - 0
AJA
52%
24%
24%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1976 |
NAC
0 - 1
AJA
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
AJA
3 - 2
EIN
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
AJA
1 - 0
MUD
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1976 |
AJA
1 - 3
SPA
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
VVV Venlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
VVV
1 - 2
SPA
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
ADO
3 - 1
VVV
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
VVV
2 - 0
PSV
22%
24%
54%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
HFC
1 - 1
VVV
50%
26%
25%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
VVV
1 - 0
AZA
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |