Ajax vs VV Dos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.8%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
6.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
NEC
1 - 2
AJA
20%
21%
59%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
FOR
0 - 1
AJA
10%
15%
75%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
AJA
2 - 1
SPA
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
NAC
0 - 2
AJA
15%
24%
61%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
AJA
4 - 3
GAE
82%
12%
7%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
VV Dos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
VVD
1 - 2
FOR
63%
20%
17%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
SPA
2 - 1
VVD
66%
21%
14%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
VVD
3 - 3
NAC
54%
24%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
GAE
7 - 0
VVD
76%
15%
8%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
VVD
1 - 0
GRO
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |