Ajax vs VV Dos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.5%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
8.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
WIL
0 - 4
AJA
25%
23%
52%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
AJA
3 - 1
PSV
72%
16%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1966 |
BJK
1 - 2
AJA
43%
24%
32%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
SIT
1 - 1
AJA
20%
20%
60%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1966 |
AJA
2 - 0
BJK
68%
17%
15%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
VV Dos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
VVD
0 - 5
FEY
28%
26%
46%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
GAE
5 - 0
VVD
60%
19%
22%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
VVD
3 - 1
TEL
66%
19%
15%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
VVD
4 - 0
WIL
57%
21%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1966 |
BAS
2 - 2
VVD
53%
20%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |