Ajax vs VV Dos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
18.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
DVO
0 - 5
AJA
22%
19%
59%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
AJA
3 - 0
FCB
67%
17%
16%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
ENS
0 - 6
AJA
39%
22%
40%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
AJA
1 - 2
SPA
69%
18%
14%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
MVV
2 - 2
AJA
30%
22%
48%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
VV Dos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
VVD
2 - 0
HER
72%
16%
13%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
FOR
1 - 2
VVD
43%
23%
34%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
VVD
2 - 0
PSV
48%
22%
30%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
WIL
1 - 3
VVD
45%
23%
32%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
VVD
1 - 0
FEY
36%
23%
40%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |