Ajax vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
10.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
AJA
3 - 0
HER
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
PSV
1 - 2
AJA
40%
24%
36%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2022 |
AJA
9 - 0
EXC
88%
9%
3%
|
89 | 47 | 42 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
UTR
0 - 3
AJA
19%
21%
60%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
AJA
5 - 0
FOR
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
TWE
3 - 0
VIT
22%
24%
54%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 3
GRO
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
VIT
2 - 0
DVS
80%
14%
6%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
FEY
0 - 1
VIT
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 0
ZWO
69%
19%
11%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | +1 |