Ajax vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
ROM
1 - 1
AJA
44%
23%
34%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
RKC
0 - 1
AJA
5%
13%
83%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
AJA
1 - 2
ROM
51%
22%
27%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
SCH
1 - 2
AJA
10%
17%
73%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
AJA
5 - 0
ADO
90%
8%
2%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 0
ADO
77%
16%
7%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
TWE
1 - 2
VIT
21%
24%
55%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 0
WIL
64%
21%
16%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
UTR
1 - 3
VIT
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 1
AZA
32%
24%
44%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |