Ajax vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
13.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
ZWO
1 - 0
AJA
12%
18%
70%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
SLB
0 - 1
AJA
50%
23%
27%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
AJA
3 - 1
RSO
49%
25%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
WIN
1 - 5
AJA
15%
20%
65%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
PER
1 - 1
AJA
8%
17%
75%
|
87 | 55 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
BOL
0 - 1
VIT
39%
25%
37%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 3
CHL
10%
18%
72%
|
77 | 93 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 1
LEV
42%
28%
30%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
OSN
2 - 2
VIT
24%
23%
54%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
VIT
0 - 0
SPA
72%
18%
11%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |