Ajax vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
AJA
4 - 1
ASW
85%
11%
4%
|
87 | 50 | 37 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
AJA
0 - 0
RKC
76%
16%
7%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
CEL
2 - 1
AJA
27%
23%
50%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
TWE
1 - 1
AJA
28%
24%
48%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
AJA
3 - 0
UTR
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
VIT
5 - 0
NOO
81%
13%
6%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 2
GRO
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
SCH
2 - 3
VIT
55%
21%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 2
FEY
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
ADO
2 - 1
VIT
28%
25%
47%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |