Ajax vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.4%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
5.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
GRO
2 - 2
AJA
12%
18%
69%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2010 |
PAO
3 - 3
AJA
16%
22%
62%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
AJA
0 - 1
TWE
61%
20%
19%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2010 |
AJA
1 - 1
PAO
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2010 |
AJA
3 - 1
CHL
30%
26%
44%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
VIT
3 - 1
ADO
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2010 |
VIT
1 - 2
MLL
25%
27%
48%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
UTR
2 - 2
VIT
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
VIT
2 - 5
RJC
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
VIT
1 - 1
NAC
34%
26%
41%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |