Ajax vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
6.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2008 |
AJA
2 - 0
UTR
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
FEY
2 - 2
AJA
27%
24%
49%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2008 |
BOR
1 - 4
AJA
16%
22%
62%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
AJA
1 - 0
RJC
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
WIL
2 - 1
AJA
17%
21%
63%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
AJA
0 - 2
VIT
15%
21%
64%
|
67 | 37 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
VIT
1 - 1
SPA
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
GRA
1 - 0
VIT
45%
25%
31%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
VIT
0 - 4
GRO
40%
26%
35%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
VIT
0 - 1
PSV
24%
27%
49%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |