Ajax vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 2
AJA
15%
21%
64%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
AJA
0 - 2
FCK
64%
21%
15%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
AJA
5 - 0
RKC
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
PSV
1 - 3
AJA
36%
23%
41%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2006 |
FCK
1 - 2
AJA
29%
26%
45%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
VIT
1 - 3
AZA
29%
25%
46%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2006 |
SPA
1 - 2
VIT
51%
24%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
VIT
1 - 1
NEC
56%
23%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
AJA
2 - 1
VIT
75%
17%
9%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
VIT
1 - 0
UTR
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |